Deoxa Indonesian Channels
Kamis 15 Mei 2025

lisensi

Advertisement

Advertisement
War Noir
11/07/22, November 07, 2022 WIB
Last Updated 2022-11-07T23:23:48Z
USAUSA today

PredictIt’s GOP victory option is dropping. It is now only calling 52 seats for GOP, with New Hampshire and Arizona remaining blue.

Advertisement

PredictIt’s GOP victory option is dropping. It is now only calling 52 seats for GOP, with New Hampshire and Arizona remaining blue. Real clear politics, on the other hands, called a 54-46 GOP senate and Politico called a toss up for senate control.

imo the reason betting market are widely expecting a GOP win despite close results is because GOP tends to do better in term of votes than in polls, because polls underestimate the GOP vote. It happened at all elections since 2016. Reminder Biden won only by a few points while being predicted landslide margins. If polls are close, it means GOP likely wins by a landslide.